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Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-28 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Hawaii is likely to fail on the road with a 54.3% chance of being correct against Nevada.
On the road, Hawaii is forecast to score 25.8 points against Nevada. Our model forecasts Hawaii will pass for 2.6 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the Nevada defense on a forecasted 28.3 competitions with 46.3 attempts for 407.7 yards. Our model forecasts Hawaii will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Nevada defense on 23.7 attempts for a projected 101.9 yards.
Nevada has an average of 28.6 points in our model for the game. Nevada is estimated from the model to throw for 338.7 yards on 50.2 attempts for 29.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.2 touchdowns and 3.8 interceptions. Nevada is predicted from the model to run for 1.0 touchdowns against Hawaii with 32.4 rush attempts for 180.8 yards.
There is no best value the against the spread bets for Hawaii (+2.0) at Nevada matchup based on our model's game predictions. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 54.3% over estimate and -110 line odds for 65.5 runs.
Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC