Giovanny Urshela's Stick is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Yankees Over the Underdog Red Sox

Fri, Aug 2, 2019 | Emma Botos

 Tweet 

James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 2, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Yankees are predicted with a 61.57% to lose at home against the Red Sox.

Probable starting pitchers James Paxton and Eduardo Rodriguez duel it out for the Yankees and Red Sox, respectively. Our model forecasts the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.127 innings, allowing 3.468 earned runs, with a 3.416 walks. The Red Sox starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.170 outs, allow 2.730 earned runs, and a 0.008 probability of a complete game.

The Yankees's Giovanny Urshela and the Red Sox's Rafael Devers will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Giovanny Urshela is estimated to bring in 0.552 RBIs and 0.594 runs scored, with an 0.347 OBP and 0.708 Ks. According to our game model, Rafael Devers is estimated to have 0.837 RBIs and score 0.926 runs over an estimated 4.738 at-bats.

With +115 money line odds and a estimated 61.57% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Red Sox over the Red Sox. Based on the prediction model's over 61.56% likelihood and +100 odds, the over line with 10.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Fri, August 2, 2019 06:42:39 MST