Giants Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Rockies Despite Mike Yastrzemski's Effort

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Emma Botos


Kyle Freeland of the Colorado Rockies delivers a pitch at Coors Field in October 2017.
Jennifer Linnea on Flickr License

September 26, 2019 -- The Giants have a 65.84% likelihood to fall to the Rockies with a based on our model.

On the mound for the Giants will be Tyler Beede paired against Kyle Freeland. The Giants starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.698 outs, allow 3.091 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game. The Rockies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.070 outs, allow 2.337 earned runs, and a 0.006 probability of a complete game.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Mike Yastrzemski and Nolan Arenado from Giants and Rockies, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Mike Yastrzemski is predicted to have 0.601 RBIs and score 0.769 runs over an estimated 4.564 at-bats. The Rockies's Nolan Arenado from the plate is forecast to score 0.856 runs, 0.898 RBIs and have a 0.401 OBP.

The Rockies are the best value for the money line based on the +114 odds and a forecasted 65.84% win estimate. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 63.52% over likelihood and -122 odds.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 13:03:15 UTC