Giants Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Phillies Despite Austin Slater's Effort

Thu, Aug 8, 2019 | Emma Botos


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August 8, 2019 -- The Giants under perform at home with a 50.68% chance to lose against the Phillies based on our model.

On the mound for the Giants will be Madison Bumgarner paired against Aaron Nola. Madison Bumgarner is estimated from the model to throw for 6.768 innings, allowing 2.300 earned runs, with 6.145 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Phillies pitcher will have an outing for 6.688 innings, allowing 2.482 earned runs, with 2.568 walks.

In a hitting matchup, Austin Slater of the Giants will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Corey Dickerson. The Giants's Austin Slater NA is estimated to score 0.536 runs, 0.563 RBIs and have a 0.366 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Corey Dickerson is predicted to bat for 0.276 with 0.500 RBIs and 0.608 runs scored.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Phillies -110 at Giants -100 game. According to prediction model the 54.92% over estimate and -105 line odds for 7.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, August 8, 2019 13:03:23 UTC