Advertisement


Giants Predicted to Fall at Home to Cubs Despite Pablo Sandoval's Effort

Tue, Jul 23, 2019 | Emma Botos

 Tweet 

Yu Darvish on August 5, 2017.
D. Benjamin Miller License

July 23, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Giants are predicted with a 56.99% to lose at home against the Cubs.

The hosting Giants have Madison Bumgarner in the rotation against the Cubs's pitcher Yu Darvish. The Giants starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.658 outs, allow 2.475 earned runs, and a 0.011 probability of a complete game. The Cubs's Yu Darvish is predicted to throw for 6.745 innings, allowing 2.386 earned runs, with 6.248 Ks.

The Giants's Pablo Sandoval and the Cubs's Kris Bryant will duel it out from the batter's box. The Giants's Pablo Sandoval 3B is estimated to score 0.539 runs, 0.663 RBIs and have a 0.305 OBP. According to our game model, Kris Bryant 3B is estimated to have 0.542 RBIs and score 0.659 runs over an estimated 4.019 at-bats.

The Cubs are the best value for the money line based on the -110 odds and a forecasted 56.99% win estimate. With an over/under of 7.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 60.52% over likelihood and +100 odds.

Posted at Tue, July 23, 2019 22:01:56 MST