Giants Forecasted to Lose at Home to Red Sox Despite Mike Yastrzemski's Effort

Tue, Sep 17, 2019 | Emma Botos


Nathan Eovaldi
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 17, 2019 -- On the road, the Giants has a 62.26% chance to lose to the Red Sox from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

On the mound for the Giants will be Logan Webb matched up against Nathan Eovaldi. The Snoozle model estimates the Giants pitcher will have an outing for 5.871 innings, allowing 3.952 earned runs, with 4.625 walks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Nathan Eovaldi will have 3.228 earned runs, a predicted 20.458 outs, and 6.709 strike outs.

The Giants's Mike Yastrzemski and the Red Sox's J.D. Martinez will slug it out from the plate. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Mike Yastrzemski is predicted to bat for 0.297 with 0.824 RBIs and 0.863 runs scored. According to our game model, J.D. Martinez is estimated to bring in 1.180 RBIs and 0.901 run scored, with an 0.422 OBP and 1.053 Ks.

For this game the Giants are the best value on the money line bets with on the +175 away odds and a predicted 37.74% likelihood to win. With an over/under of 10.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 68.30% over likelihood and -106 odds.

Posted at Tue, September 17, 2019 13:05:02 UTC