Ga Southern's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog Troy

Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-09 -- On the road, Ga Southern has a 76.1% chance to lose to Troy from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

The Snoozle model forecast Ga Southern to score 14.3 points on the road. Ga Southern is predicted from the model to throw for 62.6 yards on 11.5 attempts for 6.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.2 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts Ga Southern will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Troy defense on 51.6 attempts for a projected 243.0 yards.

In their hometown, Troy is forecast to score 26.3 points. Our model forecasts Troy will pass for 2.2 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions against the Ga Southern defense on a projected 29.8 competitions with 46.0 attempts for 381.2 passing yards. Troy is forecast to rush for 137.5 yards on 34.4 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

Troy is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 78.1% estimated to cover a +3.0 spread. With a predicted 68.2% likelihood and -110 odds at 56.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC