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Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-07 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, FSU is predicted with a 86.9% to lose at home against UL Monroe.
In their hometown, FSU is forecast to score 13.9 points. Our model forecasts FSU will pass for 0.7 touchdowns and 3.3 interceptions against the UL Monroe defense on a projected 17.5 competitions with 39.0 attempts for 170.8 passing yards. FSU is forecast to rush for 157.3 yards on 23.5 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.
Based on the montecarlo model, UL Monroe has an average of 33.0 points for the game. Our model forecasts UL Monroe will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions against the FSU defense on a forecasted 22.1 competitions with 39.2 attempts for 233.4 yards. Our model forecasts UL Monroe will rush for 2.4 touchdowns against the FSU defense on 51.2 attempts for a projected 381.1 yards.
Based on a predicted 99.2% probability to cover a +20.5 spread, UL Monroe is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 60.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 62.1% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST