FSU Forecasted to Lose at Home to UVA

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-14 -- FSU has an estimated 63.7% likelihood to lose to UVA based on our model.

On the road, FSU is forecast to score 21.0 points against UVA. The Snoozle football model predicts FSU will throw 23.8 competitions on 40.3 attempts against UVA with a forecasted 2.9 interceptions for a total of 282.4 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. Our model forecasts FSU will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the UVA defense on 36.8 attempts for a projected 142.9 yards.

UVA has an average of 27.2 points in our model for the game. UVA is estimated from the model to throw for 281.0 yards on 44.4 attempts for 26.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.7 touchdowns and 2.1 interception. UVA is predicted from the model to run for 1.4 touchdowns against FSU with 42.0 rush attempts for 242.3 yards.

Based on a predicted 54.1% probability to cover a +7.5 spread, FSU is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 53.8% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 56.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST