Freddie Freeman's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Braves Over the Nationals

Sun, Sep 8, 2019 | Emma Botos


Max Scherzer
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 8, 2019 -- The Braves change of losing to the Nationals is 54.71% based on our model.

The hosting Braves have Michael Soroka in the rotation against the Nationals's pitcher Max Scherzer. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Michael Soroka will have 2.230 earned runs, a predicted 22.021 outs, and 6.470 strike outs. The Snoozle model estimates the Nationals pitcher will have an outing for 7.088 innings, allowing 1.712 earned runs, with 2.366 walks.

Freddie Freeman, Braves's top hitter, will slug it out against Anthony Rendon in today's game. The Braves's Freddie Freeman 1B is estimated to score 0.507 runs, 0.539 RBIs and have a 0.334 OBP. The Nationals's Anthony Rendon from the plate is forecast to score 0.634 runs, 0.677 RBIs and have a 0.375 OBP.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Nationals -130 at Braves +120 game. With a predicted 61.57% likelihood and -110 odds at 8.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sun, September 8, 2019 13:05:29 UTC