Florida on the Road Predicted to Beat UVA

Mon, Dec 16, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-12-30 -- On the road, Florida take UVA for a 66.0% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast Florida to score 22.8 points on the road. Florida is predicted from the model to throw for 209.3 yards on 30.9 attempts for 17.3 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions. Florida is estimated from the model to rush for 1.2 touchdowns against UVA with 39.2 rush attempts for 205.9 yards.

UVA has an average of 15.6 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts UVA will pass for 0.8 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Florida defense on a projected 16.3 competitions with 29.6 attempts for 168.6 passing yards. Our model forecasts UVA will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Florida defense on 35.1 attempts for a projected 181.3 yards.

For this game UVA are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 61.3% chance to beat a +13.5 spread. The over/under line of 54.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 72.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Mon, December 16, 2019 13:01:27 UTC