Favored Texans Forecasted to Fall at Home to Colts

Thu, Nov 21, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-11-22 -- The Texans under perform at home with a 58.2% chance to lose against the Colts based on our football model.

The Texans have an average of 16.5 points in our model for the game. The Texans are expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 38.3 pass attempts with 26.0 competitions for 222.5 yards, and an estimated 1.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Texans will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Colts defense on 26.8 attempts for a projected 145.8 yards.

On the road, the Colts are forecast to score 20.5 points against Texans. Our model forecasts Colts will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the Texans defense on a forecasted 23.8 competitions with 39.3 attempts for 257.4 yards. The model predicts the Colts will rush on 29.4 attempts against the Texans with an estimated total of 159.2 yards and 0.8 running touchdowns.

An estimated 68.9% likelihood to beat a +3.5 point spread, the best value is on the Colts in their matchup against the Texans. According to prediction model the 53.1% over estimate and -110 line odds for 45.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, November 21, 2019 13:08:43 UTC