Favored Rockies Forecasted to Fall at Home to Pirates Despite Nolan Arenado's Effort

Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Emma Botos


Josh Bell
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 30, 2019 -- The Rockies under perform at home with a 70.71% chance to lose against the Pirates based on our model.

The hosting Rockies have Antonio Senzatela in the rotation against the Pirates's pitcher Dario Agrazal. The Rockies starting hurler is predicted to throw for 19.020 outs, allow 4.286 earned runs, and a 0.000 probability of a complete game. Dario Agrazal is estimated to have 2.764 earned runs, 21.207 outs, and 6.644 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Nolan Arenado of the Rockies will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Josh Bell. Nolan Arenado is forecast to bat for 0.303 with 0.774 RBIs and 0.691 run scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Josh Bell is predicted to bat for 0.321 with 1.189 RBIs and 1.044 runs scored.

With +110 money line odds and a estimated 70.71% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Pirates over the Rockies. The over/under line of 14.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 60.67% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:03:49 UTC