Favored Rams Forecasted to Fall at Home to Bengals

Thu, Oct 24, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-27 -- The Rams under perform at home with a 72.5% chance to lose against the Bengals based on our football model.

The Rams are estimated to score 14.8 points at home. The Rams are estimated from the model to throw for 183.1 yards on 33.1 attempts for 17.3 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 2.1 interception. The Rams are forecast to rush for 122.4 yards on 30.2 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

The Bengals are predicted to score 27.6 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts Bengals will throw 23.7 competitions on 42.6 attempts against the Rams with a forecasted 1.5 interceptions for a total of 288.8 yards and 1.8 touchdowns. The Bengals are predicted to run for 162.6 yards on 31.4 attempts with an estimated 1.1 touchdown.

Based on a predicted 92.0% probability to cover a +13.0 spread, the Bengals are the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 48.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.0% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, October 24, 2019 13:05:19 UTC