Favored Patriots Forecasted to Fall at Home to Dolphins

Thu, Dec 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-29 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Patriots have a 63.3% take a home loss against the Dolphins.

The Patriots are predicted to score 12.3 points on the home turf against Dolphins. The Snoozle football model estimates the Patriots will throw 20.4 competitions on 39.3 attempts against the Dolphins with an estimated 0.4 interceptions for a total of 220.1 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Dolphins defense on 21.3 attempts for a projected 80.6 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Dolphins have an average of 18.3 points for the game. The Dolphins are predicted from the model to throw for 249.9 yards on 45.5 attempts for 25.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. The model predicts the Dolphins will rush on 25.5 attempts against the Patriots with an estimated total of 111.5 yards and 0.5 running touchdowns.

For this game, the Dolphins are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 63.3% probability to beat the +16.0 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 67.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 45.5 runs.

Posted at Thu, December 26, 2019 13:06:31 UTC