Favored Patriots Forecasted to Fall at Home to Cowboys

Thu, Nov 21, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-11-24 -- The Patriots have a 72.0% likelihood to fall to the Cowboys with a based on our model.

At home, the Patriots are forecast to score 12.2 points. The Patriots are estimated from the model to throw for 219.0 yards on 37.4 attempts for 21.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Cowboys defense on 18.7 attempts for a projected 62.5 yards.

The Cowboys are estimated to score 23.2 points on the road. Our model forecasts Cowboys will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Patriots defense on a forecasted 26.7 competitions with 44.3 attempts for 297.4 yards. The model predicts the Cowboys will rush on 32.4 attempts against the Patriots with an estimated total of 157.8 yards and 0.8 running touchdowns.

An estimated 86.6% likelihood to beat a +6.5 point spread, the best value is on the Cowboys in their matchup against the Patriots. The over/under line of 46.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 55.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, November 21, 2019 13:08:43 UTC