Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-30 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, Nevada has a 79.2% take a home loss against UNLV.
In their hometown, Nevada is forecast to score 13.7 points. Nevada is expected to throw for 0.9 touchdowns with 39.4 pass attempts with 22.9 competitions for 225.6 yards, and an estimated 0.5 interceptions. Nevada is predicted from the model to run for 0.4 touchdowns against UNLV with 28.6 rush attempts for 119.2 yards.
Based on the montecarlo model, UNLV has an average of 27.1 points for the game. Our model forecasts UNLV will pass for 1.7 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Nevada defense on a forecasted 21.4 competitions with 40.5 attempts for 306.3 yards. The model predicts UNLV will rush on 42.2 attempts against Nevada with an estimated total of 234.6 yards and 1.4 running touchdowns.
Based on a predicted 90.4% probability to cover a +7.5 spread, UNLV is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 53.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 58.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC