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Favored Mets Forecasted to Fall at Home to Cubs Despite Pete Alonso's Effort
Wed, Aug 28, 2019 | Emma Botos
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Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License
August 28, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Mets are predicted with a 55.48% to lose at home against the Cubs.
On the mound for the Mets will be Noah Syndergaard paired against Kyle Hendricks. Noah Syndergaard is estimated from the model to throw for 6.724 innings, allowing 2.319 earned runs, with 7.195 Ks. The Cubs's Kyle Hendricks is predicted to throw for 6.845 innings, allowing 2.113 earned runs, with 6.327 Ks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Pete Alonso and Kris Bryant from Mets and Cubs, respectively. Pete Alonso is forecast to bat for 0.229 with 0.664 RBIs and 0.618 runs scored. Kris Bryant is forecast to bring in 0.623 RBIs and 0.585 runs scored, with an 0.357 OBP and 1.010 Ks.
With +105 money line odds and a estimated 55.48% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Cubs over the Mets. The over/under line of 7.5 runs with +100 over odds and a predicted 52.80% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Wed, August 28, 2019 13:04:57 UTC