Favored Mets Forecasted to Fall at Home to Braves Despite Pete Alonso's Effort

Sun, Sep 29, 2019 | Emma Botos


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Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License

September 29, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Mets are predicted with a 52.99% to lose at home against the Braves.

Probable starting pitchers Noah Syndergaard and Michael Soroka duel it out for the Mets and Braves, respectively. Our model forecasts the Mets pitcher will have an outing for 6.735 innings, allowing 2.250 earned runs, with a 2.859 walks. The Snoozle model estimates the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 6.899 innings, allowing 2.023 earned runs, with 2.731 walk.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Pete Alonso and Freddie Freeman from Mets and Braves, respectively. Pete Alonso is forecast to bat for 0.225 with 0.603 RBIs and 0.625 runs scored. According to our game model, Freddie Freeman 1B is estimated to have 0.640 RBIs and score 0.647 runs over an estimated 4.077 at-bats.

The Braves are the best value for the money line based on the -109 odds and a forecasted 52.99% win estimate. With a predicted 46.21% likelihood and +117 odds at 7.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sun, September 29, 2019 13:04:37 UTC