Favored FSU Forecasted to Fall at Home to North Carolina St

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- FSU change of losing to North Carolina St is 83.7% based on our model.

At home, FSU is forecast to score 12.7 points. FSU is expected to throw for 0.7 touchdowns with 37.5 pass attempts with 24.7 competitions for 190.1 yards, and an estimated 0.2 interceptions. The model estimates FSU will run on 29.8 attempts against North Carolina St with an estimated total of 109.3 yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, North Carolina St has an average of 27.0 points for the game. North Carolina St is predicted from the model to throw for 292.5 yards on 50.7 attempts for 30.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.6 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. North Carolina St is estimated from the model to rush for 1.2 touchdowns against FSU with 43.5 rush attempts for 248.1 yards.

For this game, North Carolina St is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 83.7% probability to beat the +6.0 point spread. With a predicted 82.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 60.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC