Favored FAU Forecasted to Fall at Home to Southern Miss

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-30 -- FAU under perform at home with a 61.8% chance to lose against Southern Miss based on our football model.

At home, FAU is forecast to score 22.0 points. FAU is expected to throw for 1.6 touchdowns with 37.5 pass attempts with 22.5 competitions for 297.1 yards, and an estimated 0.6 interceptions. FAU is forecast to rush for 123.3 yards on 33.7 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, Southern Miss is forecast to score 28.0 points against FAU. Southern Miss is predicted from the model to throw for 351.6 yards on 40.0 attempts for 25.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.2 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. Our model forecasts Southern Miss will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the FAU defense on 37.5 attempts for a projected 173.7 yards.

An estimated 75.5% likelihood to beat a +8.5 point spread, the best value is on Southern Miss in their matchup against FAU. Based on the prediction model's over 62.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 54.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC