Fri, Jan 1, 2021 | Rob Otto
2021-01-03 -- The Colts under perform at home with a 53.0% chance to lose against the Jaguars based on our football model.
The Colts are estimated to score 18.4 points at home. The Colts are estimated from the model to throw for 251.3 yards on 36.3 attempts for 22.9 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Colts will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Jaguars defense on 29.2 attempts for a projected 130.2 yards.
On the road, the Jaguars are forecast to score 20.0 points against Colts. Our model forecasts Jaguars will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Colts defense on a forecasted 26.2 competitions with 40.4 attempts for 256.1 yards. Our model forecasts the Jaguars will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Colts defense on 25.5 attempts for a projected 133.1 yards.
Based on a predicted 83.1% probability to cover a +14.0 spread, the Jaguars are the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 58.5% likelihood and -110 odds at 50.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Fri, January 1, 2021 13:05:18 UTC