Favored Chiefs Forecasted to Fall at Home to Chargers

Thu, Dec 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-29 -- On the road, the Chargers has a 46.6% chance to lose to the Chiefs from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

The Chiefs are predicted to score 17.0 points on the home turf against Chargers. The Chiefs are estimated from the model to throw for 252.8 yards on 41.0 attempts for 24.1 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. The model estimates the Chiefs will run on 24.7 attempts against the Chargers with an estimated total of 118.2 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, the Chargers are forecast to score 16.9 points against Chiefs. The Chargers are forecast to pass for 1.2 touchdowns on 40.3 pass attempts with 26.0 competitions for 250.1 yards, and a predicted 2.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Chargers will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Chiefs defense on 24.7 attempts for a projected 99.5 yards.

An estimated 70.3% likelihood to beat a +8.5 point spread, the best value is on the Chargers in their matchup against the Chiefs. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 59.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 46.5 runs.

Posted at Thu, December 26, 2019 13:06:31 UTC