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Favored Cardinals Forecasted to Fall at Home to Pirates Despite Marcell Ozuna's Effort
Fri, Aug 9, 2019 | Emma Botos
Chris Archer of the Tampa Bay Rays, 2017. St.Louis
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August 9, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Cardinals are predicted with a 66.51% to lose at home against the Pirates.
Likely starting pitcher Dakota Hudson for the Cardinals will be matched up with the Pirates probable starter Chris Archer. Dakota Hudson is estimated from the model to throw for 6.089 innings, allowing 3.833 earned runs, with 5.329 Ks. Chris Archer is estimated to have 2.507 earned runs, 21.403 outs, and 7.501 strike outs.
Hitters Marcell Ozuna from the Cardinals and Jose Osuna from the Pirates will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Marcell Ozuna is estimated to bring in 0.731 RBIs and 0.633 runs scored, with an 0.346 OBP and 0.960 Ks. Jose Osuna is forecast to bring in 1.185 RBIs and 0.959 runs scored, with an 0.409 OBP and 0.843 Ks.
According to the +125 ML away odds and an predicted 66.51% chance to win, the Pirates are the best value for the money line. According to prediction model the 62.63% over estimate and -120 line odds for 9.0 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Fri, August 9, 2019 13:06:57 UTC