Tue, Dec 22, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-12-22 -- BYU change of losing to UCF is 63.8% based on our model.
BYU is estimated to score 20.1 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates BYU will throw 22.1 competitions on 41.1 attempts against UCF with an estimated 1.1 interception for a total of 237.2 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. BYU is predicted from the model to run for 0.8 touchdowns against UCF with 36.1 rush attempts for 162.0 yards.
Based on the montecarlo model, UCF has an average of 26.4 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts UCF will throw 23.3 competitions on 38.8 attempts against BYU with a forecasted 0.9 interceptions for a total of 273.4 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. UCF is estimated from the model to rush for 1.3 touchdowns against BYU with 45.6 rush attempts for 244.3 yards.
For this game, UCF is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 63.8% probability to beat the +6.5 point spread. With a predicted 92.4% likelihood and -110 odds at 76.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, December 22, 2020 13:00:35 UTC