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Favored Brewers Forecasted to Fall at Home to Diamondbacks Despite Christian Yelich's Effort

Sun, Aug 25, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Robbie Ray
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 25, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Brewers are predicted with a 51.79% to lose at home against the Diamondbacks.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Brewers's Zach Davies and the Diamondbacks's Robbie Ray. The Brewers starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.067 outs, allow 2.881 earned runs, and a 0.007 probability of a complete game. The Diamondbacks's Robbie Ray is predicted to throw for 6.524 innings, allowing 2.654 earned runs, with 6.461 K.

Christian Yelich, Brewers's top hitter, will slug it out against Ketel Marte in today's game. Christian Yelich is forecast to bat for 0.313 with 0.906 RBIs and 0.824 runs scored. The Diamondbacks's Ketel Marte from the plate is forecast to score 0.806 runs, 0.702 RBIs and have a 0.389 OBP.

For this game the Diamondbacks are the best value on the money line bets with on the +100 away odds and a predicted 51.79% likelihood to win. Based on the prediction model's over 55.66% likelihood and +100 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sun, August 25, 2019 13:04:25 UTC