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Favored Blue Jays Forecasted to Fall at Home to Orioles Despite Reese McGuire's Effort
Wed, Sep 25, 2019 | Emma Botos
Gabriel Ynoa
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
September 25, 2019 -- The Blue Jays under perform at home with a 51.03% chance to lose against the Orioles based on our model.
The hosting Blue Jays have Jacob Waguespack in the rotation against the Orioles's pitcher Gabriel Ynoa. The Blue Jays starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.824 outs, allow 2.379 earned runs, and a 0.015 probability of a complete game. Gabriel Ynoa is estimated to have 2.413 earned runs, 21.598 outs, and 6.773 strike outs.
The Blue Jays's Reese McGuire and the Orioles's Trey Mancini will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Reese McGuire is estimated to bring in 0.754 RBIs and 0.556 runs scored, with an 0.359 OBP and 0.826 Ks. According to our game model, Trey Mancini is estimated to have 0.674 RBIs and score 0.638 runs over an estimated 4.210 at-bats.
With +146 money line odds and a estimated 51.03% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Orioles over the Blue Jays. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 57.26% over estimate and +134 line odds for 9.5 runs.
Posted at Wed, September 25, 2019 13:05:25 UTC