FAU Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat UMass

Fri, Nov 20, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-11-20 -- FAU is predicted to win over the visiting UMass based a 81.9% win prediction from the football model.

In their hometown, FAU is forecast to score 46.2 points. Our model forecasts FAU will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 1.6 interceptions against the UMass defense on a projected 14.5 competitions with 24.6 attempts for 138.5 passing yards. FAU is forecast to rush for 562.2 yards on 61.3 attempts with an estimated 4.7 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, UMass is forecast to score 23.6 points against FAU. UMass is forecast to pass for 2.0 touchdowns on 32.3 pass attempts with 26.4 competitions for 315.0 yards, and a predicted 0.5 interceptions. The model predicts UMass will rush on 31.9 attempts against FAU with an estimated total of 149.2 yards and 0.9 running touchdowns.

For this game, UMass is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 18.1% probability to beat the +33.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 96.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 51.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Fri, November 20, 2020 13:00:58 UTC