Falcons Forecasted to Lose at Home to Texans

Thu, Oct 3, 2019 | Rob Otto

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2019-10-06 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Falcons have a 63.5% chance to lose to the home town Texans.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Falcons have an average of 17.8 points for the game. The Falcons are predicted from the model to throw for 325.5 yards on 48.9 attempts for 32.1 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.6 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Falcons will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Texans defense on 19.1 attempts for a projected 67.5 yards.

The Texans are estimated to score 28.2 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the Texans will throw 28.3 competitions on 40.5 attempts against the Falcons with an estimated 2.3 interceptions for a total of 221.8 yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns. The Texans are forecast to rush for 126.1 yards on 26.0 attempts with an estimated 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

For this game Texans are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 55.7% chance to beat a -5.0 spread. With an over/under of 48.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 64.3% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, October 3, 2019 21:19:54 MST