Edwin Encarnacion's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Yankees Over the Home Underdog Twins

Mon, Oct 7, 2019 | Emma Botos

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October 7, 2019 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Yankees have a 51.41% chance to lose to the home town Twins.

Likely visiting starter Luis Severino will will duel it out with the Twins probable starter Jake Odorizzi. The Yankees starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.127 outs, allow 2.737 earned runs, and a 0.006 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Twins pitcher will have an outing for 6.576 innings, allowing 2.586 earned runs, with a 2.882 walks.

Edwin Encarnacion, Yankees's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Mitch Garver in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Edwin Encarnacion 1B is predicted to bat for 0.235 with 0.741 RBIs and 0.635 runs scored. According to our game model, Mitch Garver is estimated to bring in 0.866 RBIs and 0.872 runs scored, with an 0.352 OBP and 1.204 Ks.

With +130 money line odds and a forecasted 51.41% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Twins over the Yankees. According to prediction model the 61.93% over estimate and -115 line odds for 9.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Mon, October 7, 2019 13:01:23 UTC