Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-10-03 -- Duke under perform at home with a 80.3% chance to lose against VT based on our football model.
At home, Duke is forecast to score 18.6 points. Our model forecasts Duke will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 2.8 interceptions against the VT defense on a projected 16.0 competitions with 37.5 attempts for 269.7 passing yards. The model estimates Duke will run on 25.0 attempts against VT with an estimated total of 106.5 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.
On the road, VT is forecast to score 36.8 points against Duke. VT is predicted from the model to throw for 471.8 yards on 42.3 attempts for 33.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 3.3 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts VT will rush for 1.3 touchdowns against the Duke defense on 42.1 attempts for a projected 204.4 yards.
VT is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 63.0% likelihood estimate to cover a -13.0 point spread. With an over/under of 54.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 77.3% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:00:58 UTC