Advertisement
Dodgers Led By Pitcher Walker Buehler at Home Expected to Beat the Rockies
Sat, Sep 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Nolan Arenado
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
September 21, 2019 -- The Dodgers likely winner at home over the Rockies with a 80.12% of being correct based on our model.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Dodgers's Walker Buehler and the Rockies's Chi Chi Gonzalez. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Walker Buehler will have 1.689 earned runs, a predicted 23.187 outs, and 7.794 strike outs. The Rockies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 19.966 outs, allow 3.395 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game.
David Freese, Dodgers's top hitter, will slug it out against Nolan Arenado in today's game. According to our game model, David Freese 1B is estimated to bring in 0.760 RBIs and 1.044 runs scored, with an 0.433 OBP and 1.284 Ks. Nolan Arenado is forecast to bring in 0.522 RBIs and 0.497 runs scored, with an 0.317 OBP and 0.604 Ks.
Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Rockies +339 at Dodgers -426 game. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 63.04% over likelihood and -114 odds.
Posted at Sat, September 21, 2019 14:10:28 MST