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Dodgers Led By Pitcher Walker Buehler at Home Expected to Beat the Diamondbacks

Fri, Aug 9, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Robbie Ray
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 9, 2019 -- The Dodgers likely winner at home over the Diamondbacks with a 72.86% of being correct based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Dodgers's Walker Buehler and the Diamondbacks's Robbie Ray. Our model forecasts the Dodgers pitcher will have an outing for 7.176 innings, allowing 1.684 earned runs, with a 2.581 walk. The Diamondbacks starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.015 outs, allow 2.745 earned runs, and a 0.006 probability of a complete game.

Hitters Cody Bellinger from the Dodgers and Ketel Marte from the Diamondbacks will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Cody Bellinger is estimated to bring in 0.924 RBIs and 0.836 runs scored, with an 0.411 OBP and 0.771 K. The Diamondbacks's Ketel Marte from the plate is forecast to score 0.461 run, 0.427 RBIs and have a 0.303 OBP.

The Dodgers are the best value for the money line based on the -190 odds and a predicted 72.86% win estimate. With an over/under of 7.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 58.58% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Fri, August 9, 2019 13:06:57 UTC