Dodgers's Starting Hurler Ross Stripling with a Predicted Home Win Over the Rays

Tue, Sep 17, 2019 | Emma Botos


Blake Snell (left) and Wilson Ramos of the Tampa Bay Rays wearing Mothers' Day uniforms before a game against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in Baltimore in 2018
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License

September 17, 2019 -- The Dodgers have a 69.61% chance of winning at home against the Rays according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

Likely starting pitcher Ross Stripling for the Dodgers will be matched up with the Rays probable starter Blake Snell. Ross Stripling is estimated from the model to throw for 7.026 innings, allowing 1.837 earned runs, with 6.976 Ks. The Rays's Blake Snell is predicted to throw for 6.511 innings, allowing 2.617 earned runs, with 6.689 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Will Smith of the Dodgers will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Thomas Pham. According to our game model, Will Smith is estimated to bring in 0.828 RBIs and 0.638 runs scored, with an 0.317 OBP and 1.319 Ks. According to our game model, Thomas Pham is estimated to have 0.347 RBIs and score 0.534 runs over an estimated 4.119 at-bats.

For this matchup Dodgers are the best value on the money line bets with on the -130 home ML odds and a forecasted 69.61% chance to win. Based on the over(+100)/under(-115) odds, the 8.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Tue, September 17, 2019 13:05:02 UTC