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Diamondbacks Led By Pitcher Zack Greinke at Home Expected to Beat the Brewers
Sat, Jul 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
July 20, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Eduardo Escobar and Christian Yelich, our model estimates the Diamondbacks have an estimated 55.74% likelihood of defeating the Brewers.
The hosting Diamondbacks have Zack Greinke in the rotation against the Brewers's pitcher Gio Gonzalez. Our model forecasts the Diamondbacks pitcher will have an outing for 7.045 innings, allowing 1.761 earned runs, with a 2.719 walks. The Brewers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.937 outs, allow 2.323 earned runs, and a 0.017 probability of a complete game.
Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks's top hitter, will slug it out against Keston Hiura in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Ketel Marte is predicted to have 0.581 RBIs and score 0.609 runs over an estimated 4.431 at-bats. According to our game model, Keston Hiura is estimated to have 0.546 RBIs and score 0.411 run over an estimated 3.783 at-bats.
Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Brewers +125 at Diamondbacks -135 game. The over/under line of 9.0 runs with -125 over odds and a predicted 67.19% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Sat, July 20, 2019 07:03:37 MST