Diamondbacks's Starting Hurler Robbie Ray with a Forecasted Win Over the Reds

Fri, Sep 6, 2019 | Emma Botos


Robbie Ray
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 6, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks with a 50.30% forecasted chance to beat the Reds on the road based on the Snoozle model.

This game is a match up between the Diamondbacks's Robbie Ray and the Reds's Tyler Mahle. The Diamondbacks's Robbie Ray is predicted to throw for 6.604 innings, allowing 2.508 earned runs, with 5.692 Ks. The Reds starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.287 outs, allow 2.721 earned runs, and a 0.009 probability of a complete game.

The Diamondbacks's Ketel Marte and the Reds's Aristides Aquino will slug it out from the plate. The Diamondbacks's Ketel Marte from the plate is forecast to score 0.780 runs, 0.653 RBIs and have a 0.381 OBP. Aristides Aquino is forecast to bat for 0.296 with 1.100 RBIs and 0.856 runs scored.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Diamondbacks -110 at Reds -105 game. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 53.26% over likelihood and -105 odds.

Posted at Fri, September 6, 2019 13:05:02 UTC