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Diamondbacks's Starting Hurler Mike Leake with a Predicted Home Win Over the Marlins

Wed, Sep 18, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Mike Leake
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 18, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks have a 78.05% chance of winning at home against the Marlins according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

Probable starting pitchers Mike Leake and Sandy Alcantara duel it out for the Diamondbacks and Marlins, respectively. The Diamondbacks starting hurler is predicted to throw for 23.233 outs, allow 1.619 earned runs, and a 0.045 probability of a complete game. The Marlins's Sandy Alcantara is predicted to throw for 6.380 innings, allowing 3.040 earned runs, with 5.142 Ks.

Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks's top hitter, will slug it out against Jorge Alfaro in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Ketel Marte is predicted to have 0.807 RBIs and score 0.808 runs over an estimated 4.553 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Jorge Alfaro is predicted to bat for 0.250 with 0.494 RBIs and 0.314 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line based on the -161 odds and a predicted 78.05% win estimate. The over/under line of 8.5 runs with +116 over odds and a predicted 55.61% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Wed, September 18, 2019 06:53:59 MST