Cubs's Starting Hurler Jon Lester with a Forecasted Win Over the Pirates

Wed, Sep 25, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jon Lester
Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License

September 25, 2019 -- On the road, the Cubs take the Pirates for a 65.79% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

Likely visiting starter Jon Lester will will duel it out with the Pirates probable starter Dario Agrazal. The Cubs's Jon Lester is predicted to throw for 6.450 innings, allowing 2.860 earned runs, with 5.900 Ks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Dario Agrazal will have 3.338 earned runs, a predicted 20.043 outs, and 6.277 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Willson Contreras of the Cubs will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Jose Osuna. According to our game model, Willson Contreras is estimated to have 0.953 RBIs and score 0.813 runs over an estimated 4.247 at-bats. According to our game model, Jose Osuna is estimated to bring in 0.723 RBIs and 0.571 run scored, with an 0.318 OBP and 0.814 Ks.

There is no best value for Cubs -203 at Pirates +176 matchup based on our model's game predictions. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 61.46% over likelihood and +101 odds.

Posted at Wed, September 25, 2019 13:05:25 UTC