Thu, Aug 8, 2019 | Emma Botos
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 8, 2019 -- On the road, the Cubs take the Reds for a 59.22% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.
Likely visiting starter Cole Hamels will will duel it out with the Reds probable starter Alex Wood. The Cubs starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.976 outs, allow 2.278 earned runs, and a 0.015 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.438 innings, allowing 2.431 earned runs, with a 3.032 walks.
In a hitting matchup, Kris Bryant of the Cubs will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Phillip Ervin. The Cubs's Kris Bryant from the plate is forecast to score 0.717 runs, 0.636 RBIs and have a 0.376 OBP. The Reds's Phillip Ervin is estimated to score 0.439 runs, 0.507 RBIs and have a 0.382 OBP.
According to the -120 ML away odds and an predicted 59.22% chance to win, the Cubs are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 59.91% over estimate and +100 line odds for 9.0 runs.
Posted at Thu, August 8, 2019 13:03:23 UTC