Corey Dickerson's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Phillies Over the Braves

Thu, Sep 12, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Drew Smyly
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 12, 2019 -- The Phillies change of losing to the Braves is 71.70% based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Phillies's Drew Smyly and the Braves's Julio Teheran. Our model forecasts the Phillies pitcher will have an outing for 5.684 innings, allowing 4.271 earned runs, with a 3.951 walk. The Snoozle model estimates the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 6.422 innings, allowing 2.934 earned runs, with 2.942 walks.

The Phillies's Corey Dickerson and the Braves's Freddie Freeman will duel it out from the batter's box. Corey Dickerson is forecast to bat for 0.300 with 0.877 RBIs and 0.627 runs scored. The Braves's Freddie Freeman 1B from the plate is forecast to score 1.174 runs, 1.164 RBIs and have a 0.462 OBP.

With -130 money line odds and a estimated 71.70% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Braves over the Phillies. According to prediction model the 79.33% over estimate and -125 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 12, 2019 13:05:20 UTC