Corey Dickerson's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Phillies Over the Reds

Mon, Sep 2, 2019 | Emma Botos


Drew Smyly
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 2, 2019 -- On the road, the Phillies has a 69.26% chance to lose to the Reds from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

This game is a match up between the Phillies's Drew Smyly and the Reds's Anthony DeSclafani. Drew Smyly is estimated to have 4.151 earned runs, 19.139 outs, and 7.153 strike outs. Anthony DeSclafani is estimated from the model to throw for 6.505 innings, allowing 2.829 earned runs, with 6.828 Ks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Corey Dickerson and Eugenio Suarez from Phillies and Reds, respectively. According to our game model, Corey Dickerson is estimated to have 0.703 RBIs and score 0.697 runs over an estimated 4.905 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Eugenio Suarez is predicted to have 1.199 RBIs and score 1.071 run over an estimated 4.556 at-bats.

For this matchup Reds are the best value on the money line bets with on the -135 home ML odds and a forecasted 69.26% chance to win. With an over/under of 10.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 67.00% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Mon, September 2, 2019 13:04:47 UTC