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Colts with a Predicted Home Win Over the Jets

Sat, Sep 26, 2020 | Rob Otto

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2020-09-27 -- The Colts likely winner at home over the Jets with a 59.8% of being correct based on our model.

In their hometown, the Colts are forecast to score 18.6 points. The Colts are estimated from the model to throw for 197.0 yards on 39.1 attempts for 26.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions. The model estimates the Colts will run on 32.8 attempts against the Jets with an estimated total of 142.1 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, the Jets are forecast to score 13.8 points against Colts. The Jets are forecast to pass for 0.7 touchdowns on 38.9 pass attempts with 26.7 competitions for 204.8 yards, and a predicted 2.1 interception. Our model forecasts the Jets will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Colts defense on 26.7 attempts for a projected 105.5 yards.

For this game, the Jets are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 36.6% probability to beat the +11.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 60.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 44.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, September 26, 2020 13:03:58 UTC