Colts Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat the Packers

Sat, Nov 21, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-22 -- The Colts are predicted to win over the visiting Packers based a 51.5% win prediction from the football model.

The Colts have an average of 19.8 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts the Colts will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions against the Packers defense on a projected 24.1 competitions with 35.5 attempts for 263.3 passing yards. The Colts are predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Packers with 30.1 rush attempts for 128.0 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Packers have an average of 17.7 points for the game. Our model forecasts Packers will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions against the Colts defense on a forecasted 22.5 competitions with 36.1 attempts for 240.6 yards. The Packers are estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against Colts with 26.8 rush attempts for 105.6 yards.

There is no best value the against the spread bets for the Packers (+1.5) at the Colts matchup based on our model's game predictions. With a predicted 65.1% likelihood and -110 odds at 51.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, November 21, 2020 13:04:33 UTC