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Chiefs Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat the Patriots

Mon, Oct 5, 2020 | Rob Otto

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2020-10-05 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports football prediction model, the Chiefs have a 69.5% winning against the Patriots with an average score 29.7 to 18.1.

The Chiefs have an average of 29.7 points in our model for the game. The Chiefs are estimated from the model to throw for 363.1 yards on 44.7 attempts for 31.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.4 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will rush for 1.2 touchdowns against the Patriots defense on 30.4 attempts for a projected 176.9 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast the Patriots to score 18.1 points on the road. The Patriots are predicted from the model to throw for 176.5 yards on 28.8 attempts for 16.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions. The model predicts the Patriots will rush on 28.3 attempts against the Chiefs with an estimated total of 170.0 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.

With an estimated 58.0% likelihood to pass a -7.0 spread, the best value is on the Chiefs over the Patriots against the spread. According to prediction model the 62.4% over estimate and -110 line odds for 53.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Mon, October 5, 2020 13:02:24 UTC