Chiefs Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat the Broncos

Thu, Dec 12, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-15 -- The Chiefs have a 53.6% chance of winning at home against the Broncos according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

The Chiefs are predicted to score 16.3 points on the home turf against Broncos. The Chiefs are expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 42.5 pass attempts with 23.5 competitions for 237.8 yards, and an estimated 1.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Broncos defense on 26.7 attempts for a projected 130.3 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Broncos have an average of 13.9 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Broncos will throw 21.3 competitions on 37.2 attempts against the Chiefs with a forecasted 2.0 interceptions for a total of 190.5 yards and 0.8 touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Broncos will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Chiefs defense on 25.1 attempts for a projected 107.1 yards.

An estimated 70.8% likelihood to beat a +10.5 point spread, the best value is on the Broncos in their matchup against the Chiefs. The over/under line of 45.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 70.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, December 12, 2019 13:03:50 UTC