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Charlie Blackmon's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Rockies Over the Padres
Fri, Aug 9, 2019 | Emma Botos
Kyle Freeland of the Colorado Rockies delivers a pitch at Coors Field in October 2017.
Jennifer Linnea on Flickr License
August 9, 2019 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Rockies have a 64.42% chance to lose to the home town Padres.
This game is a match up between the Rockies's Kyle Freeland and the Padres's Cal Quantrill. The Rockies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.374 outs, allow 3.044 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game. Cal Quantrill is estimated from the model to throw for 6.709 innings, allowing 2.461 earned runs, with 6.151 K.
Sluggers Charlie Blackmon from the Rockies and Fernando Tatis Jr. from the Padres will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Charlie Blackmon is predicted to bat for 0.297 with 0.659 RBIs and 0.734 runs scored. The Padres's Fernando Tatis Jr. is estimated to score 0.991 run, 0.886 RBIs and have a 0.421 OBP.
The Padres are the best value for the money line based on the -145 odds and a predicted 64.42% win estimate. According to prediction model the 56.30% over estimate and -105 line odds for 9.0 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Fri, August 9, 2019 13:06:57 UTC