Cardinals Hurler Adam Wainwright Expected Loser at Home Against Cubs

Sat, Sep 28, 2019 | Emma Botos


Cole Hamels
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 28, 2019 -- The Cardinals change of losing to the Cubs is 50.16% based on our model.

The hosting Cardinals have Adam Wainwright in the rotation against the Cubs's pitcher Cole Hamels. The Cardinals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.077 outs, allow 2.447 earned runs, and a 0.007 probability of a complete game. The Cubs starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.266 outs, allow 2.596 earned runs, and a 0.008 probability of a complete game.

The Cardinals's Marcell Ozuna and the Cubs's Willson Contreras will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Marcell Ozuna is estimated to bring in 0.699 RBIs and 0.575 runs scored, with an 0.333 OBP and 0.986 Ks. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Willson Contreras is predicted to bat for 0.282 with 0.827 RBIs and 0.702 runs scored.

With +169 money line odds and a estimated 50.16% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Cubs over the Cardinals. According to prediction model the 57.24% over estimate and -116 line odds for 8.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, September 28, 2019 13:05:13 UTC