Cardinals's Starting Hurler Jack Flaherty with a Forecasted Win Over the Braves

Fri, Oct 4, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Jack Flaherty
Minda Haas Kuhlmann from Omaha License

October 4, 2019 -- On the road, the Cardinals take the Braves for a 59.87% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

The Cardinals have Jack Flaherty as the probable starting pitcher against Mike Foltynewicz. The Cardinals's Jack Flaherty is predicted to throw for 7.040 innings, allowing 1.768 earned runs, with 5.932 Ks. The Braves starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.977 outs, allow 2.181 earned runs, and a 0.017 probability of a complete game.

Sluggers Paul Goldschmidt from the Cardinals and Freddie Freeman from the Braves will lead the their teams from the batter's box. According to our game model, Paul Goldschmidt 1B is estimated to have 0.595 RBIs and score 0.547 runs over an estimated 4.166 at-bats. According to our game model, Freddie Freeman 1B is estimated to bring in 0.495 RBIs and 0.508 runs scored, with an 0.332 OBP and 0.840 Ks.

With -127 money line odds and a estimated 59.87% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Cardinals over the Braves. With a predicted 73.62% likelihood and +103 odds at 8.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, October 4, 2019 13:05:09 UTC