Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- Cal has a 80.2% chance of winning at home against UC Davis according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.
Cal is estimated to score 19.7 points at home. Cal is expected to throw for 0.8 touchdowns with 45.8 pass attempts with 21.9 competitions for 171.8 yards, and an estimated 1.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts Cal will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the UC Davis defense on 41.8 attempts for a projected 210.9 yards.
UC Davis is predicted to score 9.7 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts UC Davis will pass for 0.6 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions against the Cal defense on a forecasted 24.1 competitions with 47.3 attempts for 183.6 yards. The model predicts UC Davis will rush on 22.3 attempts against Cal with an estimated total of 88.0 yards and 0.2 running touchdowns.
For this game, UC Davis is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 19.8% probability to beat the +12.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 86.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 50.5 runs.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST