Cal Poly has a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Oregon State

Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-14 -- On the road, Cal Poly take Oregon State for a 98.3% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, Cal Poly has an average of 53.0 points for the game. Cal Poly is predicted from the model to throw for 585.1 yards on 52.4 attempts for 44.0 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 4.5 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. Cal Poly is predicted to run for 335.2 yards on 52.2 attempts with an estimated 2.6 touchdowns.

Oregon State is estimated to score 10.8 points at home. Our model forecasts Oregon State will pass for 0.4 touchdowns and 2.3 interceptions against the Cal Poly defense on a projected 8.9 competitions with 22.5 attempts for 92.8 passing yards. Our model forecasts Oregon State will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Cal Poly defense on 22.8 attempts for a projected 126.8 yards.

Cal Poly is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 99.6% likelihood estimate to cover a +16.5 point spread. The over/under line of 75.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 56.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST